Candlestick charts condense price action into visually informative bars: each candle shows open, high, low and close for a chosen timeframe. The body (open to close) indicates directional conviction — green/white or hollow for bullish closes, red/black or filled for bearish closes. Wicks (shadows) show rejection or acceptance of price at extremes. Candle size reflects range: long bodies and long wicks signal higher intraperiod activity, while small candles indicate indecision.
For NAS100 (a high-volatility tech-weighted index), reading these elements helps you spot momentum, reversals and consolidation. Always consider timeframe: 5-minute and 15-minute charts reveal short-term volatility; hourly and daily charts show structural trends and larger volatility regimes.
Steps
-
Identify the market conditions
Determine trend versus range. Use higher timeframes first (daily/4H) to define the prevailing trend: higher highs/lows = uptrend, lower highs/lows = downtrend, sideways structure = range. Measure recent volatility context by noting average candle size and ATR levels relative to historical averages. Check market session (US open, pre/post-market) — NAS100 often spikes at US economic releases and earnings windows.
-
Look for significant candlestick patterns
Scan for patterns that matter in context: engulfing candles, pin bars (long wick rejection), inside bars (consolidation), and consecutive strong directional candles. On NAS100, a bullish engulfing at a trend support on the daily chart carries more weight than the same pattern on a 5-minute chart. Combine pattern size with preceding structure: a pin bar at a key level or a breakout candle with high volume is more reliable.
-
Measure volatility using the Average True Range (ATR)
Use ATR (commonly 14 periods) to gauge average range. ATR gives absolute range units — useful for stop placement and position sizing. On NAS100, compare current ATR to a lookback average (e.g., 50 periods) to see if volatility is expanding or contracting. Use ATR to set stop distance (e.g., 1.5–3× ATR) and to size positions so that a fixed account-risk percentage corresponds to that stop distance.
-
Confirm signals with other indicators
Don’t rely solely on a candlestick. Confirm with momentum and trend filters: moving averages (50/200) to confirm trend direction, RSI (14) for momentum extremes, MACD for momentum shifts, and volume or on-balance volume for conviction. For NAS100, check correlation with major tech earnings or macro announcements. If a candlestick pattern aligns with moving average support and rising volume and RSI divergence, the signal strength increases.
-
Execute trades based on your analysis
Plan entry, stop, and target before trading. Entry: wait for candle close beyond confirmation (breakout close or validated reversal). Stop: place beyond structure or at a multiple of ATR. Target: use previous structure, measured moves, or risk-reward ratios (aim for at least 1.5–2× risk). Size the position so that risk per trade fits your plan (e.g., 1% of capital). For NAS100’s volatility, prefer limit entries at logical levels and avoid chasing stops during release-driven spikes.
Common mistakes
- Ignoring fundamental news that affects volatility
- Misinterpreting candlestick patterns
- Overreacting to short-term fluctuations
Briefly on each: news (jobs, Fed, big tech earnings) can blow through technical levels — always check the economic calendar. Misinterpreting patterns happens when traders ignore timeframe and context; a pin bar inside a strong trend may be continuation, not reversal. Overreacting to short-term swings often leads to poor entries and stop-outs; use ATR and higher-timeframe bias to filter noise.
Checklist
- Confirm market conditions
- Review recent volatility
- Identify recent candlestick patterns
- Analyze ATR levels
- Prepare trade execution strategy
Use this process each session: start top-down (daily to intraday), note ATR behavior, mark key candlestick patterns and levels, confirm with indicators, and execute with predefined risk. Consistent application of candlestick reading plus ATR-based sizing and stops helps manage NAS100’s volatility without reacting emotionally to every candle.